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Important Points to Note

Sameer Samana, Head of Global Equities and Real Assets Strategy at Wells Fargo, said in his commentary that gold prices could possibly come down below $4,000 on a short-term basis. Wells Fargo has adjusted their gold price forecasts upwards, with predictions for the end of 2026 at between $5,300-$5,500, increased from the prior forecast. They have also set the end-of-year gold forecast for 2027 between $5,800-$6,000.
Spot gold stood at $4,357.10 on 17th of June, 2026 and rose by 0.61% in the course of that day. Gold gained the all-time high of January 2026 to then drop over 20%. These are not temporary drivers to justify the rise in the prices of the yellow metal, the analyst at the bank said.
Gold breached 93,000 per 10 grams in the year 2025, setting new records and impacting Indians. Gold, for instance, is expected to trade higher in the future and a higher price of gold will lead to an increase in the value of gold jewellery taken for a gold loan.
Borrowers can unlock more cash against the same amount of gold. LoansJagat reports that gold loan disbursals in India touched ₹2,10,000 crore in FY25, more than double the year before. As gold prices climb further toward the Wells Fargo target, millions of Indian borrowers stand to access larger loans at lower interest rates of 8% to 29% depending on the lender.
The risk is real too. The RBI flagged that gold loan non-performing assets rose 28.58% in a single year, reaching ₹6,824 crore. If gold prices fall below $4,000 as Wells Fargo warned, collateral values drop fast. That could leave borrowers with loans larger than their gold's worth.
What Are Wells Fargo Experts Saying About Why Gold Will Keep Rising?
Wells Fargo CIO Darrell Cronk described 2026 as a year driven by “geopolitics, geography and geology.” He said ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and Eastern Europe are reshaping global investment flows toward real assets. Cronk also said: “I think the market has gotten interest rates wrong for some time now,” adding that inflation premiums and term premiums point to long-term US Treasury yields staying elevated.
Samana said: “We firmly believe that gold is that additional diversifier. More and more in this highly uncertain world, central banks are looking around for something in addition to US Treasuries and cash.”
He added: “For gold to not do well, you would need countries around the world to rein in their deficits and defend price stability. The fact that policymakers will always take the easy way out, to me, is the case for gold." Wells Fargo also expressed positive sentiment around copper and industrial metals, mentioning increased spending in AI infrastructure and global electrification through 2027.
With Wells Fargo raising their gold call to $5,300-$5,500 at the year-end of 2026 and $6,000 by 2027, a higher price in gold means higher borrowing amounts in addition to better collateral for Indians. But the short-term downside risk below $4,000 is real. Borrowers should monitor RBI guidelines and avoid overleveraging against gold.
Wells Fargo raises year-end 2026 price target to $6,100-$6,300/oz - Could it actually happen by the end of the year?
No, because we’re only a matter of months away from the close of 2023 and at the current rate, gold would need to jump 40% from current levels around $4,300 per ounce to break past the $6,000/oz level.
Is gold capable of hitting $6,000 in 2026?
Yes, according to many, particularly when J.P. Morgan Global Research and its associates call for gold to trade at $6,000 per ounce by the end of 2026.
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