Why Foreign Investors Are Losing Trust in India’s Economy?

Key Takeaways

• Former PM adviser Surjit Bhalla has called India’s FDI policy “restrictive,” saying both foreign and domestic investors are losing interest in investing in India.
   
• In March 2026, the Modi cabinet eased FDI rules for land-bordering nations like China. But experts say deeper reforms are still needed.

India’s FDI Problem is Real, and It Starts With Policy

India should ease dispute-resolution procedures and offer tax incentives to revive foreign inflows, a former adviser to PM Narendra Modi said. The policy approach has become “restrictive”, said Surjit Bhalla, who was once in the PM’s Economic Advisory Council, in an interview. 

The problem was the restrictive exit clauses that were introduced in India’s 2015 Model Bilateral Investment Treaty, said Bhalla. These clauses discouraged foreign investors from committing to the long term. Weak FDI in the short term means fewer jobs and slower growth. In the long run, it could hurt India’s prospects of becoming a global manufacturing hub.

Jobs, Growth, and You: Why Does This Hit Every Indian?

Bhalla warned that not just foreigners, but even Indians, aren’t investing in India. “Private investment is not taking place. FDI has really declined into negative territory,” he said. When investment dries up, fewer factories are built, fewer people are hired, and wages stay stagnant.

Here is India’s FDI situation:

₹4,16,709 crore (USD 47.87 billion)

FDI from China (since Apr 2000)

USD 2.51 billion (0.32% share)

The government had cleared changes in FDI guidelines for countries sharing a land border with India in March 2026. The move aims to unlock inflows for startups and deep tech and set a 60-day decision timeline for critical sectors. But economists say this is not enough.

Experts Speak: Fix the Rules, Not Just the Headlines

Bhalla suggested reverting to pre-2015 FDI norms, ending retrospective taxation, and offering export-linked incentives. He believes this could turn investor sentiment around faster than most expect.

Not all economists agree with the alarm. 

Arvind Panagariya, who heads the 16th Finance Commission, described Bhalla’s views as “alarmist”. He cited average GDP growth of 7.3% over the last three years, and said gross fixed investment has remained steady at 31-32% of GDP.  “There is no comparison between that situation and today's situation,” he said.