Stagflation: Meaning, Causes, Examples And Impact

Key takeaways 
 

• During the 1970s, countries like the USA found themselves in a peculiar predicament: their inflation was high, unemployment was rising, and the economy was stagnant. Considering this phenomenon, researchers named this situation stagflation.
   
• Recession is also an economic term, just like stagflation, but it is temporary. In a recession, unemployment is high, and GDP growth slows down for two quarters.
   
• Policies made by the government to slow the growth during stagflation can cause a worse situation.

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Not every single economy is stable at every point. It faces struggles from time to time. Sometimes it is high, and sometimes it is slowed down. But there is one situation which can make the situation worse. And that is called stagflation. 

Suppose there is a scenario where people lose their current jobs and do not find any new ones. And prices of goods and services are skyrocketing. Both things at one time are making the situation worse.

In the country, sometimes unemployment and sometimes inflation arise, but in stagflation, both happen at the same time. And hence, the government also can't control it easily. 

I know this situation seems scary, and yes, it is. But everyone should understand this concept. It helps with financial planning and awareness.

What is stagflation in economics?

In any economy, prices of goods and services increase; this is called inflation. When there is high inflation and unemployment at the same time, which is causing zero economic growth or less growth, this situation is known as stagflation. 

What causes stagflation?

Actually, not a single reason is behind stagflation. There are many reasons that cause it, one of which is supply-side shocks. I will tell you this with a real scenario. In 2022, due to COVID -19, people were not able to trade, the economy was slow, people were losing their jobs, and GDP was falling. Also, oil prices hiked, and unemployment increased, which caused stagflation in India. 

Now, another cause of stagflation is problems in the labour market. When some regulations or restrictions cause high wages without much output, it can lead to unemployment. Also, when the government prints more money, it increases taxes too. This also caused stagflation.

You know that managing stagflation is one of the difficult tasks. The government can increase the interest rate to help control inflation. But it also slows down the economy, and many people remain unemployed. If the government tries to improve growth while keeping interest rates low, it could result in worse inflation. 

Stagflation effects

I already explained to you what stagflation is, now, let's look at its effects.

1. Prices of goods and services rise when stagflation hits the country.
 

2. People are unemployed, but the cost of living increases.
 

3. There are fewer jobs in the market in stagflation.
 

4. Economic growth is slow at this time 
 

5. People do not have money to spend, so businesses also don't earn profit. 
 

6. People don't have money even for basic needs; they can't even think about investment. 
 

7. Rice people are also careful before investing because of uncertainty. And investment declines. 

All these effects I mentioned above are the worst cases. It makes stagflation difficult. 

Stagflation vs recession

I will try to explain both concepts easily. So, let's understand Stagflation vs recession.

Stagflation is simply an increase in inflation and unemployment in the same period of time. On the other hand, when people buy more goods, GDP rises, and when people buy fewer goods, GDP falls. And if for two quarters the GDP continuously falls this situation is considered a recession. This is a globally accepted definition of recession, but there are many factors. 

Like in COVID-19, people were not buying many goods, so the GDP of India fell continuously for two quarters. Technically, it was a recession, but researchers were saying that after the end of the COVID situation, it will be covered. 

Unemployment is high

Unemployment is high but temporary 

Different countries face both the stagflation and recession problems from time to time. Both make the situation difficult for common people.

Conclusion 

At the end of this article, you will know about stagflation very well. It is a condition where inflation and unemployment arise at the same time. This is the toughest situation for any country. 

It honestly affects people, their income, employment and people can't even earn from a business. If you understand inflation, it helps you to plan financially. 

Similarly, it is a rare situation which lasts long. I mean, there is no fixed time like a recession. That's why awareness of stagflation is important. 

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