RBI Keeps Repo Rate Unchanged As Further Cuts Look Unlikely

Key Insights 

1. The RBI's Monetary Policy Committee kept the repo rate at 5.25% on April 8, 2026, maintaining its neutral view because of the West Asia conflict and rising crude oil prices, which indicate new inflation risks.

2. The RBI cut the repo rate four times in 2025, delivering a total reduction of 125 basis points from 6.50% to 5.25%, the most aggressive rate-cutting cycle India has seen in 2019.

Here's a simple summary of the current economic situation:

• Current repo rate: 5.25%, SDF (Standing Deposit Facility): 5.00% MSF (Marginal Standing Facility): 5.50% Monetary Policy Stance: Neutral

• Rate cuts in 2025: 125 basis points, which means the rate dropped from 6.50% to 5.25%. This is the biggest cut since 2019.

• GDP Growth for FY27: Expected to be 6.9%, reduced from 7.4% earlier. The ongoing conflict in West Asia is affecting this.

• CPI Inflation for FY27: Projected at 4.6%, which is significantly higher than 2.1% in FY26. The rise is mainly due to higher energy prices.

• As of April 2026, the lowest home loan rates from major Indian banks start at 7.10% per annum, down from 8.50-9.00% in early 2025.

You keep track of these economic trends.

Impact of RBI Repo Rate on Home Loans: A Timeline

Understanding the RBI's repo rate and its effects on home loan rates is crucial for borrowers.  

Read More - Future EMI Cut Becomes Sales Pitch
 

Overall, these rates greatly influence borrowing costs and housing market dynamics for everyone involved.

Why the RBI Decided to Pause Again?

The RBI's Monetary Policy Committee met against a changed global backdrop this April. The West Asia crisis, which escalated smartly since late February, pushed the price of India's crude oil above $100 per barrel.

A reversal from the $60-range that defined most of FY26. India imports over 85% of its crude requirements, meaning the price pass-through to fuel, freight, and food is near-automatic.

RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra put it plainly:

“The economy is confronted with a supply shock. It is supposed to be careful to wait and watch the changing circumstances and the evolving growth-inflation view.”

The risks are real and cannot be set aside. The inflation the RBI is now managing is supply, not demand and rate walks are not the right tool for a supply shock of this nature.

A higher repo rate would make borrowing more expensive for Indian businesses and households without reducing the price of a barrel of oil by a single dollar.

If the West Asia war intensifies and crude hits $120 a barrel, the RBI may be forced to hike rates by 0.25% to protect the rupee.

A scenario that would reverse some of the EMI savings borrowers have enjoyed over the past year.

Also Read -  Good Days For Home Loan Borrowers

What This Decision Means for Millions of Home Loan Borrowers in India

Good news for the millions of Indians paying home loans:

For now, home loan payments linked to the repo rate remain unchanged, meaning borrowers are still enjoying savings from the 1.25% cuts made in the financial year 2026.

This translates to about ₹3,000 saved each month for a loan of ₹50 lakhs over 20 years. 

However, those on older loan plans, such as MCLR or Base Rate, might not be fully receiving these benefits.

They should consider switching to a repo-linked home loan to take advantage of the full 1.25% reduction.

What Experts Are Saying And What Borrowers Should Do Right Now

Experts are discussing changes in the economy and what borrowers should consider doing right now. 

They view the recent pause in interest rates as a sign of growth rather than confusion.

Ajitabh Bharti, a co-founder of CapitalXB, said that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) keeping rates at 5.25% shows it is trying to balance economic growth with external challenges.

If inflation stays low, there might be opportunities to lower rates in the future. 

Sonal Badhan, an economist at Bank of Baroda, added that while rates might not go down much more, a big rise in oil prices above $100 could really change the economic view for next year.

Conclusion

The RBI decided to keep the interest rate at 5.25%, a careful, data-driven choice, not a sign of stepping back. Borrowers should take advantage of no penalties for early loan payments, think about switching to loans linked to the repo rate, and pay attention to the MPC meeting in June 2026.

FAQs

RBI Maintains Repo Rate at 5.25%: Good News for Home Buyers or Just a Pause Before the Next Move?  

The RBI’s decision to maintain the repo rate at 5.25% is largely good news, providing stability and preventing an immediate hike in home loan EMIs.

Is the RBI MPC meeting repo rate helpful or impactful?  

The RBI MPC's repo rate decision is highly impactful and helpful in maintaining economic stability.